Shards of Alara (ALA) – Booster EV, Pull Rates & Top Hits
What is statistically inside a booster? Expected value, pull rates and the most valuable chase cards (top hits) per product – calculated from official booster compositions (MTGJSON) and current European market prices (Cardmarket).
Draft Booster
4.01 € EV per booster
Expected value by spot
Top hits & chase cards
| Card | Rarity | Price | Pull rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ad Nauseam ala ✨ Foil | rare | 58.55 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Mayael the Anima ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 35.24 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Tezzeret the Seeker ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 19.41 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Rafiq of the Many ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 17.43 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Elspeth, Knight-Errant ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 16.09 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Tezzeret the Seeker ala | mythic | 14.96 € | 1 : 121 |
| Kresh the Bloodbraided ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 12.72 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Memory Erosion ala ✨ Foil | rare | 11.79 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Ethersworn Canonist ala ✨ Foil | rare | 11.04 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Death Baron ala ✨ Foil | rare | 10.59 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Relic of Progenitus ala ✨ Foil | common | 9.84 € | 1 : 896 |
| Ajani Vengeant ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 8.58 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Prince of Thralls ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 8.42 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Ad Nauseam ala | rare | 8.35 € | 1 : 61 |
| Relic of Progenitus ala | common | 7.84 € | 1 : 10 |
| Godsire ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 7.34 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Mycoloth ala ✨ Foil | rare | 6.91 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Sharuum the Hegemon ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 6.39 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Sedris, the Traitor King ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 6.39 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Cunning Lethemancer ala ✨ Foil | rare | 5.84 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Empyrial Archangel ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 5.68 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Sarkhan Vol ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 5.65 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Knight of the White Orchid ala ✨ Foil | rare | 5.19 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Ranger of Eos ala ✨ Foil | rare | 5.15 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Scourglass ala ✨ Foil | rare | 4.90 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Knight-Captain of Eos ala ✨ Foil | rare | 4.79 € | 1 : 1,793 |
| Lich's Mirror ala ✨ Foil | mythic | 4.56 € | 1 : 3,585 |
| Memory Erosion ala | rare | 4.24 € | 1 : 61 |
| Plains ala ✨ Foil | common | 4.08 € | 1 : 896 |
| Titanic Ultimatum ala ✨ Foil | rare | 4.07 € | 1 : 1,793 |
In short
What is the expected value of a Shards of Alara (ALA) Draft Booster?
A Shards of Alara (ALA) Draft Booster has an expected value of €4.01 (Cardmarket prices as of Oct 27, 2026). The value is the average over all possible booster contents; individual boosters land well above or below it.
Which card is the most valuable hit in a Shards of Alara (ALA) Draft Booster?
The most valuable hit right now is Ad Nauseam (Foil) at €58.55, with a pull rate of about 1 in 1,793. Prices are updated daily (Cardmarket trend via Scryfall).
Which color has the highest expected value in a Shards of Alara (ALA) Draft Booster?
Colorless carries the largest share of the expected value at €0.87 per booster, followed by Multi at €0.65. The split follows the break calculator spots: one per color, plus multicolor, colorless and land.
All values are statistical expected values based on current European market prices (Cardmarket, EUR) – US prices (TCGplayer) may differ. No guarantee for the contents of any individual booster.
Prices: Cardmarket trend prices via Scryfall (cheapest paper printing unless stated otherwise), as of 10/27/2026, updated daily. They can differ from actual buy or sell prices and are not a buying recommendation.